Polymarket Trader

evengluck

0xf30d8d84fc8d8d9e6ea1364438ba90abf642f053

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $383.09
Realized PnL: $464.55
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$464.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$9.67

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.25
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.5
Potential profit: $342.5
User PnL: -$288.07

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.65
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $4.35

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $186.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $13.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.3

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146
Potential profit: $146
User PnL: -$123.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.91
Potential profit: $128.91
User PnL: -$11.09

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $83.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.95

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $67.19
Potential payout: $67.63
Potential profit: $0.44
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$7.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.01

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

No 71.3% 100.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?

No 72.5% 59.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 4?

No 92% 77.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

No 84.9% 146 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Yes 69% 190 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?

No 95% 117.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4?

No 83% 6.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?

Yes 20% 150 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?

No 84% 30.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?

No 78.8% 75.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?

No 97.3% 166.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

Yes 25.9% 92.65 shares