Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
Elacera
0xf30e3ba760a55e61fa6528546bbe64ff810f1da2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$3.27
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 22% 4.34 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 30% 3.22 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 37% 2.63 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 7% 21 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes 34% 5.88 shares