Polymarket Trader

z5thn

@run_zealot

0xf30f0f604839aec2a4c3b1c9ba87da897a54a161

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.01
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $219.99
User PnL: -$36.6

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$57

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$136.99

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $41.17
Potential payout: $182.98
Potential profit: $141.81
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$18.76

No position

Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.22
Potential profit: $99.22
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$31.6

No position

Will there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.43
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.79
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.85

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.73
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$7.73

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.46
Potential profit: $32.46
User PnL: -$15.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $28.34
Potential profit: $13.74
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $20.97
User PnL: -$6.67

No position

Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% in June?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will there be 4+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $3.86
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $7.08
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.3%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $453.76

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.95

Yes position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.11

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.91

No position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.9

No position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.39

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.37

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.02

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.55

Yes position

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.05

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.75

No position

Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 31% 6.57 shares
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 32% 15 shares
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?

No 71% 51.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 53.6% 99.99 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 33% 26.03 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 68% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 15.4% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 15.3% 5 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 15.2% 100 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 15.1% 5 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 78.8% 50 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 69% 100 shares