Polymarket Trader

Harvest-Fancy

0xf33a5274e6138e2a3f3d3e96d00a350423849a87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39
Realized PnL: -$31.58
Win rate: 43.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Uzbekistan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Under position

CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: -$12.01

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5

Under 91% 19 shares
Uzbekistan leading at halftime?

No 90% 20 shares
CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5

Under 93% 16 shares
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 96% 18 shares
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 3.6% 940 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?

Yes 3.5% 905 shares
Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?

No 96.4% 780 shares
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Yes 9.6% 1,923 shares
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 97.2% 1,119 shares
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 2.8% 184 shares
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 2.6% 20 shares
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

No 97.1% 1,029 shares