Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $331.02
- Potential payout
- $334.87
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $230.56
Polymarket Trader
Reqdre
0xf33bb28bbb0c97e577ec69d12e6b42a297729105
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $331.02
- Realized PnL
- -$17.53
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 30% 334.87 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 106.64 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?No 91% 75.1 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?No 91% 31.55 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 99.3% 28.91 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 96% 28.92 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 83% 27.76 shares
- French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?No 8% 37.84 shares
- French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?No 88% 37.84 shares
- Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No 93.1% 33.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 31% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 89% 68.34 shares