No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $960.92
- Potential payout
- $984.04
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Polymarket Trader
tarons
0xf33f4a1f1a9b87c8523813821371745fb4f740a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $960.92
- Realized PnL
- $185.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.6% 984.04 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97% 983 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 716 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 239 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.6% 122 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?No 98% 107.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 952 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 953 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.9% 953 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 98.3% 944 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 928.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99.4% 928.45 shares