Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
brinley773ainsley
0xf349793889e5a034f953ecccfdbd6ba54dcd444e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.2
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 24?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Giants draft Cameron Ward?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 73% 5.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 72% 66 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 79 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 4.4% 92 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 6.9% 92 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 3.6% 50 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 7.6% 77 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 6.6% 153 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 89% 38 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96.5% 50 shares