No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $10.57
- User PnL
- $139.63
Polymarket Trader
0x95074f722f93bdf65e0832064c0877b04
0xf34c215125ee7f75354cb3133c884b981d534f33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.83K
- Realized PnL
- $2.81K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $93.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $79.57
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- $15.55
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $171
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $123
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $162
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.14
No position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.72
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $154.04
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.02
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.39
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.55
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.15
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $18.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$37.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 1,052.01 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.1% 1,110.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 96% 2,000 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.4% 966.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.7% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 1,200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.6% 1,228.92 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 94% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 600 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 3,931.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.2% 1,000 shares