Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
Jefftoadonis
0xf3534c92518d708073d3ec975258dccdc5282878
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.73
- Realized PnL
- $4.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $148.03
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$158.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.88
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $16.7
No position
Will Trump say "God" 7+ times during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown 18% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETDown 48.3% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown 61.1% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown 48% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 51% 2.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown 29.7% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown 46% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp 66% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 30% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 63% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 34% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 38% 2.63 shares