No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.95
Polymarket Trader
0xf35a...9aba
0xf35a4bc37e8e95b0217bfc624dcf511617ce9aba
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.32
- Realized PnL
- $22.3
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $11.22
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 87% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 16 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 80% 9 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 75.2% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 24.9% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 5 shares