No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- User PnL
- -$335
Polymarket Trader
apple-juice
0xf364cb725860fa8bc7f91c2d16eb52624c9d7d5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.44
- Realized PnL
- $380.16
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $350.88
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310.83
- Potential profit
- $310.83
- User PnL
- -$119.7
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.04
- Potential profit
- $220.04
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $87.69
- Potential payout
- $138.1
- Potential profit
- $50.4
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $124.75
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $112.7
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.94
- Potential profit
- $111.94
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Zalgiris Kaunas position
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.19
- Potential profit
- $72.19
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.73
Yes position
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.78
No position
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
No position
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.79
No position
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
No position
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
No position
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
Yes position
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
No position
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.2% 833.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.8% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.2% 480.77 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 54.5% 55.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 3.6% 111.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.4% 468.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 63% 138.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 126.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 229.89 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 28.4% 210.97 shares
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 69% 20.27 shares