Yes position
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $87.31
- Potential profit
- $86.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Polymarket Trader
0xf368...cfb1
0xf36861adb4a2d9e52a58de8860dbccb6237dcfb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.12
- Realized PnL
- $496.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $13.62
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $6.96
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
Ends Jan 4, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 2.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.9%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.81
DN SOOPers position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.85
Ultra Prime position
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.93
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
Yes position
Will "Lazarus" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?No 80% 2.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?No 76% 2.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?No 71% 2.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?No 74% 2.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?No 73% 2.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?Yes 99.9% 3.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?Yes 52% 3.85 shares
- Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?Yes 54% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes 56% 5.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes 53% 5.66 shares