Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$65.6
Polymarket Trader
Kartun
0xf37b979cb383b380fe65d8327d6be224d9ef5099
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $216.8
- Realized PnL
- $180.17
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$48.69
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $781.6
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$59.6
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $27.52
- Potential payout
- $753.93
- Potential profit
- $726.41
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$66.83
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $65.1
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $554.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$69.5
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$36.22
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $436.28
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $290.55
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$17.55
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.4
- Potential profit
- $207.4
- User PnL
- -$51.04
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $25.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174.7
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $54.32
- Potential profit
- $53.91
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.68
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.67
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will "Alike - My Mother's Dream - Allison Charney" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will "Black Pierrot - Sidney Outlaw" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Y
Yes position
Will "Schubert Beatles - Theo Hoffman" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.2% 400 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 10.6% 39.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 12% 110 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 300 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes 6% 200 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes 3.1% 400 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 93.3% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 61.6% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes 0.1% 299.97 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 6% 400 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 23% 220 shares