Polymarket Trader

0xF38Ef222875F7D34cA50F8e27889A857f8a31917-1771357243883

0xf38ef222875f7d34ca50f8e27889a857f8a31917

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.09
Realized PnL: $153.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.9%
Current value: $15.76
Potential payout: $46.56
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.77
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $7.78
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $8.65
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.32
Potential profit: $8.32
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.27
Potential profit: $8.27
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.21
Potential profit: $8.21
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.18
Potential profit: $8.18
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $8.1
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.07
Potential profit: $8.07
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.91
Potential profit: $7.91
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.83
Potential profit: $7.83
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $7.06
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $7.03
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.88
Potential profit: $6.88
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

No 27% 11.11 shares
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 49% 3.48 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?

Down 15% 13.33 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Yes 10% 100 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 34% 4.41 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 34.7% 8.65 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 7.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 68% 4.41 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 69% 4.35 shares