Yes position
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $208.45
- Potential profit
- $204.18
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $3.65
Polymarket Trader
MayWeatherstappen
@weatherstappen
0xf3d266c89086a6d58d033c1247aae1a2949c6efc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.22
- Realized PnL
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $36.77
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $41.96
- Potential profit
- $40.6
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.16
- Potential profit
- $40.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $39.01
- Potential profit
- $36.27
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $34.14
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.6
- Potential profit
- $33.6
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.02
- Potential profit
- $21.02
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $20.81
- Potential profit
- $20.47
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.34
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.38
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $14.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.38
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $13.67
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?Yes 15.5% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 21?No 67% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 20?No 73% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21?No 61% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?No 68% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?Yes 17.4% 13.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?Yes 16% 15 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?No 66% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 21?No 67% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?Yes 6.3% 39.01 shares