Polymarket Trader

larry-li

@LarryLi2000118

0xf3d8b539e1586205eeec75d6a468377768cbbe6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $268.76
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $155.81
Potential payout: $164.79
Potential profit: $8.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $83.9
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $13.66
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $20.62
Potential profit: $18.03
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $8.74
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.14
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 66.5% 14.39 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 82% 97.56 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 9.43 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 6.21 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 83.2% 107.77 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 55.4% 54.15 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 82% 120.73 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 68.4% 57.02 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 90% 6.67 shares