Polymarket Trader

0xf3e1...7a46

0xf3e102398dfcda1cea14d49fdb5fc7c5782a7a46

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.66
Realized PnL: $184.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.89
Potential profit: $257.89
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.86
Potential profit: $48.86
User PnL: -$8.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.4
Potential profit: $37.4
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.53
Potential profit: $31.53
User PnL: -$9.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.33
Potential profit: $31.33
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.11
Potential profit: $31.11
User PnL: -$14.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.7
Potential profit: $29.7
User PnL: -$1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.25
Potential profit: $28.25
User PnL: -$1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.25
Potential profit: $27.25
User PnL: -$1.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.5
Potential profit: $25.5
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.01
Potential profit: $25.01
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.85
Potential profit: $21.85
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.81
Potential profit: $21.81
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.78
Potential profit: $21.78
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.45
Potential profit: $21.45
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.41
Potential profit: $21.41
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $19.6
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.59
Potential profit: $16.59
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.31
Potential profit: $15.31
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.95
Potential profit: $14.95
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $14.85
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76
Potential profit: $14.76
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 67% 14.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 4% 28.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3AM ET

Down 4% 27.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 83.2% 6.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 80.7% 6.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 22% 21.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12AM ET

Up 67% 29.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Up 49% 5.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Up 86% 9.35 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 23?

Yes 72.9% 5.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 33.4% 5.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12AM ET

Down 81% 9.41 shares