Polymarket Trader

0xf3E17b40Eafc80101adaf46737EED461801F6845-1767658026685

0xf3e17b40eafc80101adaf46737eed461801f6845

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.77
Realized PnL: $442.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.77
Potential profit: $314.77
User PnL: -$73.24

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $128.62
Potential payout: $295.67
Potential profit: $167.05
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $61.62

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.55
Potential profit: $234.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.41
Potential profit: $158.41
User PnL: -$39.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.53
Potential profit: $143.53
User PnL: -$52.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.47
Potential profit: $137.47
User PnL: -$12.94

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $102.41
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$39.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.96
Potential profit: $101.96
User PnL: -$49.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.96
Potential profit: $39.96
User PnL: -$14.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.47

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 39% 102.56 shares
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Yes 37.2% 45.67 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 25% 160 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Yes 8% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 7.8% 37.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 10% 99.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Up 48.3% 101.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 70% 16.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Up 70% 35.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 25% 158.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 8.1% 43.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 10% 199.6 shares