Polymarket Trader

Yiren

0xf3ea14a549363509176e6fc6df9cd511706a3039

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.89K
Realized PnL: $2.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $126.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $26.22

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $739.27
Potential payout: $807.94
Potential profit: $68.67
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $77.77

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $488.03
Potential payout: $574.16
Potential profit: $86.12
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $22.89

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $419.98
Potential payout: $448.46
Potential profit: $28.48
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.92

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $327.24
Potential payout: $347.2
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $21.49

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $248.68
Potential payout: $290.85
Potential profit: $42.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $181.92
Potential payout: $182.93
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $31.92

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $129.54
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $29.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $71.88
Potential payout: $72.64
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $46.57
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $16.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $30.17
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.95

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.26

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.36

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.95

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.91

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.51

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.68

Clippers position

Magic vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Warriors position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.48

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Warriors position

Mavericks vs. Warriors

Ends Nov 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Warriors position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.59

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.55

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.59

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Kings

Ends Nov 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Clippers position

Rockets vs. Clippers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.39

Mavericks position

Thunder vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Down 96% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Down 94% 10.64 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 87% 252.87 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 269.31 shares
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 79% 37.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Up 64% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 81% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 88% 5.68 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 64.2% 46.73 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 54.95 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 78% 25.64 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 25.9% 77.22 shares