Polymarket Trader

monolog

0xf3f62f1bda4159aa4c6feee1eb7a97c5a6ff6f83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.33K
Realized PnL: $99.93K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

Yes position

Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.89K
Potential profit: $118.89K
User PnL: -$6.09K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $153.53
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$70.16

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $778.96
Potential profit: $778.96
User PnL: -$222.61

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699
Potential profit: $699
User PnL: -$4

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.23
Potential profit: $169.23
User PnL: -$164.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.97K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $474.75

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.12

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.5

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.2

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.43

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.09

No position

Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.52

No position

Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.98K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 94.4% 1,483.37 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

No 96.7% 1,400 shares
Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

No 98.7% 723.55 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 95.2% 28.99 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 95.1% 73.49 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 96.2% 102.58 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 96.1% 1.18 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 95.8% 6 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 95.8% 369.18 shares
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 3,209.68 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 94.6% 99.41 shares
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares