Polymarket Trader

jeromecharline

0xf404014fe37b6426b2adb5b0844a1d7a3e1699fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.74
Realized PnL: $104.06
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.12
Potential profit: $325.12
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.06
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $44.84
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$14.56

Yes position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $35.42
Potential profit: $35.03
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.49

Yes position

Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$1.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Another US bank failure by February 28?

Yes 30.8% 325.12 shares
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes 14% 23.63 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Yes 2.8% 35.42 shares
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 39.9% 50.38 shares
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?

Yes 9% 100 shares