Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$58.45
Polymarket Trader
betafun
0xf40a880011e0646d367c5c965615106dbc998114
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.99
- Realized PnL
- $997.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $84.86
- Potential profit
- $74.98
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.86
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.39
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.47
No position
Iran military response by Sunday?
Ends Aug 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.18
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.38
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.19
Yes position
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
No position
Assad public appearance before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.29
No position
Iran military response by Tuesday?
Ends Aug 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.57
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.07
No position
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Syria hold national elections before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.04
No position
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
U.S. Recession in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60% 16.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 11.8% 84.86 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 30% 66.67 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 57% 20 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 41% 30 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 28% 70 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 27% 35 shares
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes 42% 47.62 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes 68% 29.41 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes 91% 26.66 shares