Polymarket Trader

JoseEnglish8339

0xf40bc82a0a9ec25a0f6d88e7568b9f2fcc9f7181

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.77
Realized PnL: $4.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $894
Potential profit: $894
User PnL: -$540.57

Yes position

Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463
Potential profit: $463
User PnL: -$379.66

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379
Potential profit: $379
User PnL: -$57.23

Fenerbahce position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311
Potential profit: $311
User PnL: -$154.88

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $299
User PnL: -$43.28

Yes position

Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297
Potential profit: $297
User PnL: -$139.59

Yes position

Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$65

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $27.28
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $148.72
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$57.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$31.75

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$12.21

No position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$15.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$16.64

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$13.57

No position

Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.51
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.76

Bad Luck position

Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs METANOIAGG (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.23

Yes position

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $338.96

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $332.8

Yes position

Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309

Yes position

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $248.82

Yes position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $220.38

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.5

Under position

Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.98

Yes position

Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.85

Over position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.2

Yes position

Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.06

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.4

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.48

Yes position

Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.41

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.9

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.56

Yes position

Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.18

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.8

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.25

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $72.48

Yes position

Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.54

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $66.85

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.4% 35 shares
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

No 71% 130 shares
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

No 72% 40 shares
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

No 79% 125 shares
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

No 79% 125 shares
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

No 89.9% 999 shares
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

No 28% 983 shares
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?

No 13% 84 shares
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?

No 13% 1,020 shares
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 38% 892 shares
Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 661 shares
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 31% 892 shares