Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $171
- Potential profit
- $152.1
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $6.93
Polymarket Trader
fred5k
0xf4193868f769301f8c046382fd34fe0e1efa5f89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $320
- Realized PnL
- $3.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $139.5
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $149.98
- Potential profit
- $146.3
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $132.67
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $120.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.45
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $85.99
- Potential profit
- $85.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $27.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $52.8
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $15.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $19.12
- Potential payout
- $74.99
- Potential profit
- $55.87
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $57.42
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $65.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $16.81
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $40.19
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $44.01
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?Yes 16% 26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?Yes 8% 94.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?Yes 18% 66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?Yes 18% 43.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Yes 9% 43.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?Yes 13.9% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?Yes 30% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 17?Yes 7% 6.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?Yes 8% 52.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?Yes 11% 67.54 shares