Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xf41c...3c9b
0xf41c609b39d20e315c76da8be6489a041ba43c9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- -$180
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $138.58
- Potential payout
- $14.59K
- Potential profit
- $14.45K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $38.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $289
- Potential payout
- $9.17K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$60.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $614.63
- Potential payout
- $9.17K
- Potential profit
- $8.56K
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $114.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $7.21K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$46.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$248.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$189.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.37
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $98.84
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$96.7
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $19.09
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$180
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 4.5% 6,722.09 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 7.7% 3,883.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 4% 18,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?Yes 18.2% 1,100.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 8?Yes 4.5% 2,198.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?No 0.7% 2,812.23 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 1.1% 1,818.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 4.3% 2,325.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?No 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?Yes 0.7% 7,213.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?Yes 2.4% 2,055.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?Yes 0.8% 5,963.71 shares