Polymarket Trader

KonradElgak

0xf41fd2ae535deb03049fca9f685b49f8d9fe0af5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.01
Realized PnL: $4.76
Win rate: 73.9%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10.78
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Berachain launch a token in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 21.74 shares
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

No 92% 10.78 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?

Yes 94.9% 5.27 shares
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

No 95% 6.32 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 99.9% 7.01 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 95.7% 5.22 shares
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.7% 22.07 shares
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 89.1% 5.61 shares
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?

No 96.7% 5.17 shares
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

No 99.4% 5.03 shares
Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares