No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.81K
- Potential payout
- $19.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Polymarket Trader
Sardinianshepherd
0xf42f4a4211d058cd109d503cf13f7bcdfc82a6a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.93K
- Realized PnL
- $59.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $9.16
- Potential payout
- $18.32K
- Potential profit
- $18.31K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$436.6
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $15.41K
- Potential profit
- $15.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$234.04
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$201.88
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $12.09K
- Potential profit
- $12.08K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$439.18
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $11.01K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$171.59
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $10.51K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$166.91
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$156.44
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$159.92
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $9.56K
- Potential profit
- $9.55K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$149.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $6.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$103.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$622.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.01K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Yes 11.5% 1,594.01 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 90.2% 582.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.5% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.8% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.8% 6,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.7% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.2% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.9% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.6% 2,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 2,406.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 89.6% 479 shares