Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $171.58
- Potential profit
- $167.46
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.39
Polymarket Trader
Default-noname
0xf42f902951d059d451d715d01b1d33f7ed3789cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.29
- Realized PnL
- $28.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.73
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?Yes 88% 5.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?Down 6% 17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No 95% 1.05 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 7.8% 45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 96.6% 6.21 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 77% 1.3 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 56% 1.79 shares