Polymarket Trader

quick-turtle

0xf434e8aee8c7f83ed0d7e36f281383ee1d99c6aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.08K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $6.31K
User PnL: -$5.86K

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$1.73K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$1.05K

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$978.39

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $891.44
Potential payout: $974.25
Potential profit: $82.81
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $90.15

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $894
Potential profit: $894
User PnL: -$101.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $756.99
Potential profit: $756.99
User PnL: -$679.32

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $438
Potential payout: $512.28
Potential profit: $74.28
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $81.15

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $393.97
Potential payout: $412.53
Potential profit: $18.56
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $21.87

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277
Potential profit: $277
User PnL: -$167.63

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $258.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$242.82

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $209
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $140.94
Potential payout: $152.37
Potential profit: $11.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $133.03
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $19.07
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $103.94
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$62.12

Yes position

Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $113
User PnL: -$27.17

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.82
Potential profit: $106.82
User PnL: -$103.4

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$36.12

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $59.51
Potential payout: $68.01
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $44.09
Potential profit: $42.57
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yadong position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$26.27

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.31
Potential profit: $34.31
User PnL: -$31.46

No position

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.24
Potential profit: $14.24
User PnL: -$13.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 95% 88.26 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 0.68 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 1.49 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 2.34 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 2.5 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 1.79 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 0.25 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 1.17 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 2.89 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 1.6 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 1.9 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 94% 0.73 shares