Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- User PnL
- -$940.58
Polymarket Trader
Semen-Demon
0xf440d2ae2b1e4bbc0d1184186114d4b94a962747
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.28
- Realized PnL
- $21.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $110.2
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $52.53
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $32.08
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$7.24
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$628.48
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Eagles position
Broncos vs. Eagles
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.31
- Potential profit
- $221.31
- User PnL
- -$146.06
Lions position
Lions vs. Eagles
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.35
- Potential profit
- $32.35
- User PnL
- -$14.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.97K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $587.88
Dolphins position
Cardinals vs. Dolphins
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $512.51
No position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $364
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.03
Texans position
Texans vs. Jets
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $309.89
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Trump" 20 or more times during DC rally on Oct 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.22
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.16
Lions position
Lions vs. Texans
Ends Nov 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.87
Yes position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.14
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Eagles
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.06
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.3
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.84
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.11
Lions position
Lions vs. Packers
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Falcons position
Falcons vs. Saints
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.52
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $40.39
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will Trump say “Border” 5+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.05
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Commanders
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
No position
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.56
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $20.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?No 3% 20 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No 2.6% 49 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No 2.6% 150 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No 2.6% 1,300 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?No 2.7% 1,400 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?No 2.5% 32.5 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?No 2.5% 250 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 15.1% 3,213.51 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 0.8% 400 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 1.3% 400 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 1.4% 400 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 3% 400 shares