Polymarket Trader

0xf45f68DF2146a915496baA96980eD0933835Dbfd-1762867485179

0xf45f68df2146a915496baa96980ed0933835dbfd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.48
Realized PnL: $305.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.33
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $40.28
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$12.85

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.7
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.95
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$13.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.05
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.92

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.43

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01

Van position

UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Yes position

Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.68

Machado Garry position

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $11.88

Yes position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Taira position

UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 67% 20 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 30 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 11% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?

Yes 97.3% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Yes 19.3% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 38.6% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Yes 44% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 23?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 87% 10 shares