Polymarket Trader

abc19

0xf47ec9518963e4a3b2b458bebce8f7551ef25031

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $881.94
Realized PnL: $5.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.95K
User PnL: -$663.18

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $331.34
Potential profit: $327.7
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$146.36

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $328.58
Potential profit: $328.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$32.86

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $293.4
Potential payout: $325.82
Potential profit: $32.42
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $190.57

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $146.18
Potential payout: $324.85
Potential profit: $178.67
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $55.68
Potential payout: $214.16
Potential profit: $158.48
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$12.85

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $189.19
Potential payout: $205.75
Potential profit: $16.56
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $126.57

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.9
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$84.9

No position

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $178.58
Potential payout: $196.24
Potential profit: $17.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.06

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.97

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.89

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.87

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.6

Yes position

Will Panama be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.39

No position

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.78

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.01

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

World Cup: Scoreless Team?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

No position

Critical Discord Incident by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.65

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $32.07

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Yes position

Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

No 88.5% 196.24 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57.9% 5,949.08 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42.1% 5,949.17 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34% 194.45 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65.5% 192.67 shares
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Yes 47% 95.49 shares
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Yes 32% 214.16 shares
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Yes 43.6% 229.36 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 195.32 shares
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 328.58 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31.6% 325.82 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45.3% 331.34 shares