Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.74
- Potential profit
- $154.74
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
lilril
@lil_ril_
0xf482a06a5581bbbe6de04fbd2cff8f7c6afb3ac8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $88.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.34
- Potential profit
- $66.34
- User PnL
- -$41.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.88
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Drake release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6PM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?Yes 0.6% 154.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 1.15 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 63% 67.49 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No 57% 74.6 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No 89% 74.61 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 99.7% 66.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 97.3% 22.61 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 200 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 97.4% 43.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 99.7% 42.82 shares
- Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 97.8% 42.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 14% 200 shares