Y
Yes position
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $8.63
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $33.37
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Polymarket Trader
topwu
0xf48ca0294ef653eb2b7c7bdc748c174307578ec6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.54
- Realized PnL
- $545.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $40.11
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.91
No position
Will 100T make a roster change before August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Yes position
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -1.6% and -0.8%?
Ends Aug 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $18.29
- Multiplier
- 7.75x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will Paper Rex make a roster change before September?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $18.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
Ends Aug 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Ends Feb 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $19.74
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Down position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?Yes 43% 20 shares
- Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?Yes 23% 21 shares
- Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes 15% 21 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.1% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?Yes 19% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?Yes 35% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?Yes 22% 16.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?Yes 45% 5.9 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes 47% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?Yes 39% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 4?Yes 9% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?Yes 18% 21 shares