Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $17.92
- Potential profit
- $10.66
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.26
Polymarket Trader
0xF48DcD8711A9eFF66c50Ae144F97597325222ac4-1780607476700
0xf48dcd8711a9eff66c50ae144f97597325222ac4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.78
- Realized PnL
- -$41.1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$26.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 2.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 67.8% 1.47 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 3.22 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 47% 2.13 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 53% 14.81 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 54% 14.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 33% 3.03 shares