No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
crazydent
0xf496ef659b18acc40781d788cfae5bc0140102a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.34
- Realized PnL
- $1.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $876.72
- Potential profit
- $869.27
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$92.55
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $566.67
- Potential profit
- $566.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.27
- Potential profit
- $381.27
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $366.89
- Potential profit
- $360.11
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $24.57
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $308.77
- Multiplier
- 13.57x
- User PnL
- $4.57
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $98.53
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $195.59
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$70
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$15
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.4
- Potential profit
- $152.4
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.84
- Potential profit
- $145.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.98
- Potential profit
- $120.98
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395
No position
Will Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.98
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.62
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.11
Paraguay position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.93
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.69
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.29
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.01
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.65
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.36
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.96
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.28
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes 26% 214.28 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?No 2.7% 366.89 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 99.9% 111.11 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay 97% 107 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No 7.4% 270.16 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No 9% 111.11 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes 45% 111.11 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay 28% 107.14 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 73% 27.4 shares
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No 55.9% 107.31 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 34% 294.12 shares