No position
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
ckwes
0xf49b286a92c51d224979cdce9e95b9abc356b6ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.78
- Realized PnL
- $55.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $11.44
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $9.04
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$8.24
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.29
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.77
No position
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $7.54
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.45
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 88% 8.5 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 8.5 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?No 87% 8.5 shares
- Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 89.7% 8.5 shares
- Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 8.5 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 83% 8.5 shares
- USD1 depeg by December 31?No 94% 8.5 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No 90% 8.5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No 94% 8.5 shares
- Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?No 97% 8.5 shares
- Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No 96% 8.5 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 92% 8.5 shares