Polymarket Trader

Nickbellick

0xf4b4474455b09b9f7d87e7b781e3015e23c425df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.34
Realized PnL: $111.83
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.48
Potential profit: $119.48
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.44
Potential profit: $58.44
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $35.23
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $25.4
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.97
Potential profit: $22.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.74
Potential profit: $15.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Trump say "Vietnam" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.98
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Obama" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.61
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Affordability" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will "Imagine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Epstein" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.99
Potential profit: $8.99
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Bernie say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" in Maine?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

No 15% 6.67 shares
Will Trump say "Vietnam" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?

No 8.3% 11.98 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 43% 2.33 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

No 10% 10 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will "Imagine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

No 11% 9.09 shares
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

No 31% 3.23 shares
Will Starmer say "European Union" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 17% 5.88 shares
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares