Polymarket Trader

lvscool

0xf4d7834766c87e299b1da893e3a6da2927b68e61

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.29
Realized PnL: $158.01
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.07K
Potential profit: $20.07K
User PnL: -$20.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44K
Potential profit: $6.44K
User PnL: -$118.56

Yes position

Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$55.38

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $708.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670.6
Potential profit: $670.6
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.5
Potential profit: $497.5
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $480.78
Potential profit: $472.85
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.34
Potential profit: $410.34
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.16
Potential profit: $351.16
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.16
Potential profit: $343.16
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231
Potential profit: $231
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.1
Potential profit: $224.1
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.99
Potential profit: $184.99
User PnL: -$35.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.55

Crawford position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

Bengals position

Jaguars vs. Bengals

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.09

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.25

Colts position

Broncos vs. Colts

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Chiefs

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.57

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Will Kimmel say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during return show on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Yes 1.7% 357.14 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 1,250 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 62.5 shares
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 125 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 1,715.49 shares
Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Yes 12% 26.08 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 208.82 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.9% 222.99 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7% 140 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 267.39 shares