No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.99
- Potential profit
- $559.99
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Polymarket Trader
0xF4dB19DED9410106Fa13b53837f22AC7ad01FdDC-1775238476528
0xf4db19ded9410106fa13b53837f22ac7ad01fddc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.37
- Realized PnL
- $4.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $40.73
- Potential payout
- $280.9
- Potential profit
- $240.17
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.8%
- Current value
- $52.69
- Potential payout
- $189.52
- Potential profit
- $136.84
- Multiplier
- 3.60x
- User PnL
- $42.69
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $154.05
- Potential profit
- $139.34
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.47
- Potential profit
- $50.47
- User PnL
- -$39.37
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $28.81
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $18.81
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $41.43
- Potential payout
- $43.57
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.14
- Potential profit
- $26.14
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.73
- Potential profit
- $25.73
- User PnL
- -$14.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.77
- Potential profit
- $20.77
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.68
- Potential profit
- $18.68
- User PnL
- -$7.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Yes 5.3% 189.52 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes 13.8% 180.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 1.1% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 1.2% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 3,060 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 1,250 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?Yes 59% 15.95 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?Yes 99.9% 11.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp 99% 5.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp 91% 5.42 shares