N
No position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $8.49
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 6.33x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
sanguinius3
0xf4de12ccb9133b51df0cb5950f829043d966ac06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.44
- Realized PnL
- $122.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $4.59
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $4.36
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $4.03
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1.62
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.03
Y
Yes position
France to win the second half?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Y
Yes position
Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Spain position
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Over position
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 1.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 1.42 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 73% 1.62 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 73% 1.62 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No 14% 8.49 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No 40% 2.65 shares
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No 41% 2.59 shares
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain 97% 4.12 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 30.3% 14.22 shares
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain 73% 4.11 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 51.5% 4.73 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 52.7% 18.96 shares