Polymarket Trader

Decentralised

@xdecentralised

0xf4ee04dbcb66425b8090346a2ea4ceff5277e1ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.56
Realized PnL: $2.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$709.14

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $793.93
Potential profit: $789.17
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$16.45

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.75
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $264
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $119.99
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $64.58
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $41.18
Potential payout: $41.7
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $31.81
Potential payout: $33.31
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.76

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.3

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.41

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.55

New Zealand position

ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.49

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.14

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.14

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.16

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.13

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.56

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.33

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.28

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.57

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 19?

No 74% 1.03 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 82% 36.55 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 78% 29.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

No 58.6% 66.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

No 56.2% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

No 56.2% 21.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

No 55.6% 15 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Yes 14% 70 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 17?

Yes 0.1% 6.07 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 17?

Yes 91% 70.34 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 17?

Yes 16.5% 6.07 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Over 79% 25 shares