Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $30.22K
- Potential payout
- $37.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $12.4K
Polymarket Trader
nada
0xf4f3476be6e5b2de3a7e1bc849ff4b047bef330d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.48K
- Realized PnL
- $320.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $219.74
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $638.11
- Potential payout
- $638.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $52.76
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $117.11
- Potential payout
- $153.09
- Potential profit
- $35.98
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.65
- Potential profit
- $116.65
- User PnL
- -$67.66
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Current value
- $34.3
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $60.71
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- -$17.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.63
- Potential profit
- $31.63
- User PnL
- -$14.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.89K
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.72K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48K
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49K
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48K
No position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
No position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
No position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Kamala president by Friday?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 55% 92.09 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 55.5% 15,143.96 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 52% 11 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 54.4% 95 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 52.4% 336 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 53% 2,004.11 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 91.7% 638.11 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 43.4% 2,584.28 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 42.3% 2,565.55 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.1% 6,176.1 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.1% 160 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.2% 80.92 shares