No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $842.56
- Potential payout
- $931
- Potential profit
- $88.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $186.55
Polymarket Trader
cosmicsteaks
0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.87K
- Realized PnL
- $21.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $40.74
- Potential payout
- $905.38
- Potential profit
- $864.63
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.24
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $884
- Potential profit
- $866.76
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$53.18
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $869.78
- Potential profit
- $849.77
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$505.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $581.08
- Potential payout
- $796
- Potential profit
- $214.92
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $278.6
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $520.43
- Potential payout
- $586.07
- Potential profit
- $65.64
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $95.87
- Potential payout
- $581
- Potential profit
- $485.14
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$26.14
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $186.34
- Potential payout
- $484
- Potential profit
- $297.66
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$26.62
No position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $272.85
- Potential payout
- $483
- Potential profit
- $210.15
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $111.64
Yes position
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $61.78
- Potential payout
- $468
- Potential profit
- $406.22
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- $17.58
No position
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $461.77
- Potential payout
- $462
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $309.42
No position
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $425.4
- Potential payout
- $446.14
- Potential profit
- $20.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.4
Under position
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $24.21
- Potential payout
- $421
- Potential profit
- $396.79
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $414.12
- Potential profit
- $406.04
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$135.63
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $281.7
- Potential payout
- $385.89
- Potential profit
- $104.19
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.68
- Potential profit
- $350.68
- User PnL
- -$298.08
No position
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $254.15
- Potential payout
- $299
- Potential profit
- $44.85
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $135.83
- Potential payout
- $289
- Potential profit
- $153.17
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$13.58
No position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $248.43
- Potential payout
- $285.56
- Potential profit
- $37.12
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $68.53
Yes position
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $260.43
- Potential payout
- $284
- Potential profit
- $23.57
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $93.01
illwill position
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $274.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.93
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $64.11
- Potential payout
- $233.14
- Potential profit
- $169.02
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $221.09
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $58.91
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $172.1
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $12.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Baltimore Orioles position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Bangladesh win?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.62
Chicago White Sox position
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.89
Kansas City Royals position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.79
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.4
Under position
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.07
Yes position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.06
N
No position
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Draw at halftime?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.33
Y
Yes position
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.45
Yes position
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.96
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.59
Yes position
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.28
Chicago White Sox position
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.66
N
No position
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.42
CCG Esports position
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.44
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.69
Arizona Diamondbacks position
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.2
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo 98.1% 36 shares
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes 22% 52 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming 9% 86 shares
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 6.1% 231 shares
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerillwill 1% 132 shares
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerillwill 1% 99 shares
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerillwill 29% 44 shares
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming 7.9% 34.69 shares
- Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?No 63% 7 shares
- Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?No 26.1% 20.67 shares
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo 79% 15 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over 85% 59 shares