Whatisitnow

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $411.88
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.64
Potential profit: $263.64
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $156.53
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $125.41
Potential profit: $122.9
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$2.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.76
Potential profit: $124.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.6
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.77
Potential profit: $89.77
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.33
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.85
Potential profit: $77.85
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.63
Potential profit: $59.63
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.67
Potential profit: $56.67
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.02
Potential profit: $56.02
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the match not air?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.32
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $38.65
Potential profit: $37.33
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.67
Potential profit: $34.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $27.13
Potential profit: $26.53
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.96

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yokohama FC position

Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Darius Garland: Points O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET