No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.34K
- Potential payout
- $39.34K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $697.22
Polymarket Trader
thebetter1234
0xf501ffd866ccdaa8c09002b3167d532bfe668852
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.54K
- Realized PnL
- $29.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $50.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.2
Abby position
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRo
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.57
Yes position
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.04
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $668.89
TheGrefg position
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcol
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.41
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.66
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.91
No position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during May 16 Baier interview?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during Merz events on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.99
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.71
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.86
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.48
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.93
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.87
Andoni position
Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcast
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.84
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No 97.7% 2,198 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 98.2% 39,339.91 shares
- 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No 97.9% 338.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.6% 35,000 shares
- 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No 91% 41 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No 98.7% 333.12 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes 15% 1,400.22 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No 17.1% 1,224.73 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes 13% 1,497.28 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No 86.4% 1,437.9 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No 98.4% 5,721.4 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No 98% 1,578 shares