Polymarket Trader

AnatoleTournesol

0xf513fdb21e5d16d7341592b497053e286ceb234e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $367.83
Realized PnL: $78.6
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $167.22
Potential payout: $777.78
Potential profit: $610.56
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $17.22

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.89
Potential profit: $712.89
User PnL: -$192.99

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $13.45
Potential payout: $143.88
Potential profit: $130.43
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$6.55

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.1
Potential profit: $80.1
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $54.64
Potential profit: $47.95
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$3.31

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.55
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $22.55

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $25.16
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $23.28
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $5.46
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $15.55
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $8.73
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.1
Potential profit: $16.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $11.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 43% 4.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 91% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 54% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 35.7% 103.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 47.1% 84.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 69% 33.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 39% 49.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 99% 41.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 97% 41.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 99.9% 41.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 97% 41.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 25% 19.65 shares