N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
0xf51b...ca1b
0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $111.22
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $465.56
- Potential profit
- $465.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $187.16
- Potential profit
- $187.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $115.31
- Potential profit
- $114.33
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.05
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.75
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $90.38
- Potential profit
- $89.98
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $61.33
- Potential payout
- $72.12
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $51.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $65.62
- Potential profit
- $65.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $65.15
- Potential profit
- $65.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $59.69
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $61.98
- Potential profit
- $60.15
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $59.59
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.55
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $48.42
- Potential profit
- $47.69
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $40.41
- Potential profit
- $39.48
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $31.66
- Potential profit
- $29.77
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.97
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $27.25
- Potential profit
- $17.17
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $26.3
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $24.75
- Potential profit
- $23.66
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $21.52
- Potential profit
- $21.32
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.51
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 79% 24.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?Yes 99.9% 6.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 88% 3.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 99% 7.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 76% 16.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 54% 7.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 49% 7.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 42% 9.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?Yes 12% 6.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?Yes 47% 2.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?Yes 69% 7.24 shares