Yes position
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $607
- Potential profit
- $607
- User PnL
- -$163.89
Polymarket Trader
StevenSmith1724
0xf5289763a5b57084d78e2e33fd1af2714efc4441
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $280.14
- Realized PnL
- $1.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$117.48
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $81.07
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $263.93
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$146.63
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $110.1
- Potential payout
- $227
- Potential profit
- $116.91
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$53.35
Yes position
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $72
- User PnL
- -$22.32
Yes position
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $59.28
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $23.04
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Down position
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$8.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Down position
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.06
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.25
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $184.58
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.74
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.1
No position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.07
Yes position
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.72
Yes position
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.34
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
No position
Will $DJT's market cap be between 4b and 4.25b
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.22
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
No position
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $43.42
Yes position
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $35.03
Yes position
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.32
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Yes position
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.73
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $23.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No 89.9% 27 shares
- Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No 89.8% 25 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 41% 5 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 70% 38 shares
- Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 14% 263 shares
- Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 17% 263 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 69% 910 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 69% 948 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 66% 320 shares
- Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 14% 476 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No 89% 168 shares
- Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 17% 476 shares