Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
baldspaniard2
0xf52bd1055547e8b7e79f37e19409dd639343bdf5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.77
- Realized PnL
- $950.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.34
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$554.51
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $161.92
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $886.12
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $102.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $822
- Potential profit
- $822
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $771.43
- Potential profit
- $771.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $642.17
- Potential profit
- $642.17
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $636.67
- Potential profit
- $635.08
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $548.35
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $542.86
- Potential profit
- $541.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.1
- Potential profit
- $542.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.02
- Potential profit
- $488.02
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484.57
- Potential profit
- $484.57
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.1
- Potential profit
- $475.1
- User PnL
- -$35.06
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $454.77
- Potential profit
- $448.85
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$34.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.12
- Potential profit
- $397.12
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.83
- Potential profit
- $381.83
- User PnL
- -$24.22
Yes position
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.64
- Potential profit
- $376.64
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.94
- Potential profit
- $357.94
- User PnL
- -$59.89
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.5
- Potential profit
- $309.5
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.43
- Potential profit
- $296.43
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.57
- Potential profit
- $294.57
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Yes position
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.61
- Potential profit
- $283.61
- User PnL
- -$39.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.22
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.09
Yes position
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.03
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?No 0.9% 246.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on March 21?No 58% 6.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 18?No 68% 5.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?No 69% 5.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 18?No 65% 6.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?No 63% 7.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?No 65% 7.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?No 64.4% 7.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?No 59% 8.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?No 45.1% 11.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 18?No 60% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?No 99% 5.05 shares